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TRUSTMARK CORP (TRMK)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Q3 delivered solid core results: EPS of $0.94 grew 2% q/q and 12% y/y on higher net interest income and disciplined credit costs; NIM edged up to 3.83% and ROA/ROTE were 1.21%/12.84% .
  • Mixed versus Street: EPS slightly beat consensus while revenue was below; management tightened full‑year NIM guidance to 3.78%–3.82% and affirmed other 2025 outlook items (loans mid‑single‑digit, deposits low‑single‑digit ex‑brokered, NII high‑single‑digit) .
  • Balance sheet momentum: loans +0.6% q/q (+3.4% y/y) to $13.55B; deposits +3.4% q/q (+2.6% y/y) to $15.63B with NIBD rising to 21.2%; CET1 improved to 11.88% .
  • Key near‑term stock catalysts: tightened NIM range and deposit growth resiliency; offset by a revenue miss vs consensus and higher noninterest expense from ~$2.3M non‑routine items (charter conversion/legal and an OREO reserve) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

  • What Went Well

    • NIM expansion and NII growth: NIM rose 2 bps to 3.83% and net interest income (FTE) increased 2.4% q/q to $165.2M on higher loan and securities yields .
    • Core funding strength: deposits +$515M q/q (+3.4%), with NIBD +5.9% q/q to 21.2% of total; cost of total deposits only 1.84% (+4 bps q/q) .
    • Management tone confident on outlook and hiring to drive growth: “Our momentum continues to build… We will continue to add seasoned professionals… to further enhance our financial performance” — CEO Duane Dewey .
  • What Went Wrong

    • Noninterest expense elevated: up 4.7% q/q to $130.9M, including ~$2.3M non‑routine items; salaries/benefits +$3.2M q/q from merit increases, incentives, and growth hires; OREO expense +$1.8M from a single‑property reserve .
    • Revenue vs consensus: company “total revenue” $202.4M came in below S&P Global consensus revenue estimate; fee line items were flat overall q/q (noninterest income +0.1% q/q) .
    • Credit optics: NPLs ticked up modestly (nonaccrual loans +$3.0M q/q), though NCOs remained low at 0.13% of average loans and total PCL declined to $1.7M .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025Q3 2025 Consensus*
EPS (diluted)$0.84 $0.92 $0.94 $0.932* (6 ests)
Total Revenue ($M, company GAAP NII + noninterest)$192.3 (154.7+37.6) $198.6 $202.4 $206.1* (4 ests)
Net Interest Margin (FTE)3.69% 3.81% 3.83%

Notes: Q3’24 revenue shown as GAAP net interest income ($154.7M) + noninterest income ($37.6M) from company tables . Consensus values marked with * are from S&P Global; Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Revenue breakdown and fee lines

Metric ($M)Q3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Net Interest Income (FTE)$158.0 $161.4 $165.2
Noninterest Income$37.6 $39.9 $39.9
• Service Charges$11.3 $10.6 $11.3
• Bank Card & Other Fees$7.9 $8.8 $8.3
• Mortgage Banking, net$6.1 $8.6 $8.2
• Wealth Management$9.3 $9.6 $9.8
Noninterest Expense$123.3 $125.1 $130.9

Key performance and balance sheet KPIs

KPIQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025
Loans HFI ($B, end)$13.10 $13.46 $13.55
Deposits ($B, end)$15.24 $15.12 $15.63
NIBD (% of total)20.7% 21.2%
Cost of Total Deposits2.22% 1.80% 1.84%
PCL (total, $M)$6.5 $4.7 $1.7
NCOs ($M) / Rate$4.68 / 0.14% $4.12 / 0.12% $4.39 / 0.13%
CET111.30% 11.70% 11.88%
Efficiency Ratio (Adj)60.99% 61.24% 61.98%
Tangible Book Value/Share$26.88 $28.74 $29.60

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Net Interest Margin (FY)FY 20253.77%–3.83% 3.78%–3.82% Tightened/narrowed
Loans HFI GrowthFY 2025Mid‑single‑digit Mid‑single‑digit (affirmed) Maintained
Deposits (ex‑brokered) GrowthFY 2025Low‑single‑digit Low‑single‑digit (affirmed) Maintained
Net Interest IncomeFY 2025High‑single‑digit growth High‑single‑digit (affirmed) Maintained
Provision for Credit LossesFY 2025Lower vs FY24 Lower vs FY24 (affirmed) Maintained
Noninterest Income (Adj)FY 2025Mid‑single‑digit growth Mid‑single‑digit (affirmed) Maintained
Noninterest ExpenseFY 2025Mid‑single‑digit growth Mid‑single‑digit (affirmed) Maintained
Deposit Cost (Company Outlook)Q4 20251.72% in model (mgmt target) New Q4 color

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q1 & Q2 2025)Current Period (Q3 2025)Trend
NIM & Rate PathNIM rose to 3.75% in Q1; to 3.81% in Q2 on higher loan yields and lower interest‑bearing liability costs .NIM 3.83%; mgmt tightened FY NIM range; aims to hold ~3.80%–3.83% through cuts with proactive deposit pricing .Improving/stabilizing
Deposit Growth & BetasQ1 deposits stable ($15.1B); cost of total deposits fell 15 bps q/q . Q2 deposits $15.1B; cost 1.80% .Q3 deposits +3.4% q/q; cost 1.84%; plan to reduce in Q4; competitive market acknowledged .Positive balances; disciplined pricing
Credit QualityQ1 PCL $5.3M; NCOs 0.04% . Q2 PCL $4.7M; NCOs 0.12% .PCL $1.7M; NCOs 0.13%; criticized loans down ~$49M in Q3 (mgmt Q&A) .Improving criticized/benign losses
Operating ExpenseQ1 opex down 0.3% q/q . Q2 opex +0.9% q/q .Q3 opex +4.7% q/q with ~$2.3M non‑routine items; growth hires add run‑rate .Higher near‑term from growth/one‑time
Growth Investments/Hiring— (run‑rate)29 new associates in Q3; 21 producers/support; targeted growth markets (Houston, Birmingham, Huntsville, FL Panhandle, South AL, Atlanta) .Accelerating producer adds
Capital ReturnRepurchased $15M in Q1; $11M in Q2 .Repurchased $11M in Q3; $37M YTD; $63M remaining for 2025; openness to increase in 2026 .Ongoing buybacks; potential increase

Management Commentary

  • CEO on momentum and strategy: “Our momentum continues to build… We will continue to add seasoned professionals with proven performance records to supplement our teams and expand and deepen customer relationships.”
  • CFO on NIM outlook and rate cuts: “We are optimistic about maintaining NIM in this general area of 3.80% to 3.83%… there might be some choppiness quarter to quarter.”
  • CFO on deposit pricing path: “Our outlook for fourth quarter deposit cost dropping from 1.84% to 1.72% reflects the intended price cuts… subject to competitive response and depositor pushback.”
  • Credit update: “We did have a nice trend down of about $49 million in criticized loans this quarter… very encouraged by that positive trend.” — Barry Harvey, Chief Credit & Operations Officer

Q&A Highlights

  • Expense trajectory and hiring: ~29 hires in Q3 (21 producers/support); ~$0.4M hit in Q3 with higher Q4 run‑rate; some non‑routine recruiting/signing costs embedded .
  • Capital return: ~$11M repurchased in Q3; $63M authorization remaining; potential to lean more into buybacks in 2026 as capital builds, balanced with loan growth .
  • Deposit strategy and betas: Competitive deposit market; proactive rate cuts planned with exception pricing for profitable clients; targeted promotional campaigns used to manage L/D ratio .
  • CRE competitiveness: More deal flow industry‑wide but thinner spreads/fees; pricing more competitive in CRE while other categories stable .

Estimates Context

  • EPS: Actual $0.94 vs consensus $0.932*, a slight beat (6 estimates) . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Revenue: Company “total revenue” $202.4M; S&P Global revenue “actual” recorded at $200.7M* vs consensus $206.1M* (4 estimates), implying a miss; definitional differences (GAAP NII vs FTE, tax‑equivalent adjustments) can cause variance between company presentation and data provider’s “revenue” field . Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Consensus vs actual (Q3 2025)

MetricConsensus*ActualVariance
EPS (diluted)$0.932*$0.94 +$0.01
Revenue ($M)$206.1*$200.7*-$5.4

Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Where estimates may adjust: modest upward bias to EPS run‑rate from tighter NIM range and deposit cost actions; offset by higher opex run‑rate from producer hiring and competitive CRE pricing discussed on the call .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Core profitability is resilient: NIM stable to slightly expanding, with management guiding to hold ~3.80%–3.82% despite expected Fed cuts via proactive deposit pricing .
  • Funding strength is a differentiator: balanced personal/commercial deposit growth, rising NIBD mix, and CET1 at 11.88% support growth and buybacks .
  • Expense cadence: expect a higher Q4 run‑rate from growth hires, with non‑routine costs in Q3 rolling off; watch efficiency ratio near term .
  • Credit is benign and trending better: criticized loans down and NCOs low; PCL lower sequentially; watch nonaccruals which ticked up modestly .
  • Capital returns ongoing: $11M repurchased in Q3; $63M remaining authorization for 2025; potential for more proactive repurchases in 2026 .
  • Trading setup: Slight EPS beat vs a revenue shortfall; tightened NIM guidance and strong deposit trends are supports, while higher opex and competitive CRE pricing are watch‑items .

Appendix: Additional Data Points

  • Loans and deposits: Loans HFI +$83M q/q to $13.55B; deposits +$515M q/q to $15.63B; loans/deposits ~86.7% .
  • Fee highlights: Wealth management $9.8M (+1.7% q/q); mortgage banking $8.2M (‑4.9% q/q, +33.7% y/y); service charges $11.3M (+6.3% q/q) .
  • One‑time items: ~$900K professional fees tied to state charter conversion/strategic initiatives; $1.4M OREO reserve on a single property .
  • Dividend: $0.24 per share declared, payable Dec 15, 2025 .

Citations: All company figures and quotations are from Trustmark’s Q3 2025 8‑K/press release and transcript as cited above - - -. Prior‑quarter comparisons use Q1/Q2 2025 8‑Ks/press releases - -. Consensus figures marked with * are from S&P Global; Values retrieved from S&P Global.